哈希游戏
热门标签

Crossing red lines to nuclear war

时间:2周前   阅读:4   评论:4

telegram营销www.tel8.vip)是一个Telegram群组分享平台。telegram营销包括telegram营销、telegram群组索引、Telegram群组导航、新加坡telegram群组、telegram中文群组、telegram群组(其他)、Telegram 美国 群组、telegram群组爬虫、电报群 科学上网、小飞机 怎么 加 群、tg群等内容。telegram营销为广大电报用户提供各种电报群组/电报频道/电报机器人导航服务。

Biden’s “Build Back Better” seeks to get back to a semblance of unipolar position, but having crossed Russia’s red line over Ukraine, war has broken out, but it is contained because it is a proxy war where only the Ukrainians are dying, whilst Nato provides the arms.

NOW that the pomp and glory of US Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan is over, and China has held military exercises surrounding Taiwan, what has been achieved other than further worsening of US-China relations?

The crumbling of the current world order is like an earthquake. Initially everything looked fine, then cracks and tremors begin to appear, and events accelerate until the actual earthquake occurs with massive devastation.

The difference between earthquakes and war is that the latter is human-induced and should in theory be avoidable.

The Thucydides Trap is less about whether Great Powers will fight and more about whether it is avoidable. History has rewarded heroes when they win wars, but has seldom praised statesmen who have avoided wars.

History will debate whether the Ukraine war was avoidable. So far, it is a non-nuclear war because Russia warned the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (Nato) not to provoke a nuclear situation.

Nato at least understands that the Cold War, fought between 1946-1991, did avoid nuclear war.

,

皇冠下载www.hg108.vip)是一个开放皇冠即时比分、皇冠官网注册的平台。皇冠下载(www.hg108.vip)提供最新皇冠登录,皇冠APP下载包含新皇冠体育代理、会员APP。

,

Both sides understood that nuclear war was “MAD” (mutually assured destruction). There were lots of proxy wars, such as the Korean war, where the Soviets pushed China to do the fighting, or Afghanistan, where the United States financed Islamist forces to wear down the Soviet forces.

The Cuban missile crisis was defused when the Russians agreed to remove missiles from Cuba, provided the Americans removed missiles from Turkiye. Both sides decided to back down from each other’s “red lines”, the crossing of which would escalate beyond either side’s control.

The American economist who had the most influence on shaping understanding of nuclear options was Thomas C Schelling (1931-2016). His Nobel laureate lecture “An Astonishing Sixty Years: The Legacy of Hiroshima” reminds us how lucky and rational we were so far in avoiding nuclear escalation.

Schelling’s great attribute was to apply intellectual rigour and common sense to very uncomfortable questions. He thought through the unthinkable. A leading game theorist, he understood that all human decisions are interdependent, contingent upon someone else’s behaviour, the most common being “tit for tat”.

But common sense at the individual level does not always work at the global level. Married couples who want a divorce can appeal to a court for independent judgement.

Great Powers cannot appeal to any higher court, not even the United Nations, because they have the veto over any ruling.

Thus the only global rule is that Great Powers must reach an understanding with each other and not cross each other’s red lines, beyond which they will clash.

上一篇:哈希定位胆(www.hx198.vip):Comedy club founder charged over racial remarks

下一篇:哈希108竞彩平台:Ringgit ends marginally higher against US dollar

网友评论

  • 2022-09-08 00:30:17

    菲律宾博彩网址www.99cx.vip)是一个开放皇冠体育网址代理APP下载、皇冠体育网址会员APP下载、皇冠体育网址线路APP下载、皇冠体育网址登录APP下载的官方平台。菲律宾博彩网址上菲律宾博彩网址会员登录线路、菲律宾博彩网址代理网址更新最快。菲律宾博彩网址开放皇冠官方会员注册、皇冠官方代理开户等业务。
    同一个兴趣,扩列吗

  • 2022-09-21 00:49:26

    Notwithstanding that the group is managing the effects of rising inflation on its operations, Turkey is classified as a hyperinflationary economy under MFRS 129. The group has applied MFRS 129 to its Turkish operations when reporting its financial performance from this quarter onwards.大家多多评论呀